FNUS73 KPAH 161442 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR I-207-P...USFWS, CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 942 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE I-207-P BURN SITE LATER TODAY...TAKING THE CLOUDS WITH THEM. BY SPOT IGNITION TIME...SOME SUNSHINE MAY BE BREAKING THROUGH ABOVE THE SPOT IN AN OTHERWISE LIGHT WIND FLOW REGIME. SUNSHINE SHOULD RETURN IN MORE EARNEST TOMORROW. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 66. RH..................75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST 2-4 MPH AT IGNITION... OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE DAY. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4000-4900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC PC PC PC MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............55 57 59 61 62 64 64 63 RH..............75 68 63 57 52 48 48 50 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW W W W SW 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2600-2800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 55 51 49 48 46 RH..............55 67 76 79 84 88 20 FT WIND......S 2 S 1 S 1 S 2 S 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 MIX HGT (FT)....4900 4600 4200 3800 3200 2800 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 7 NW 6 W 6 SW 6 SW 7 SW 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 5 5 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73. RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............45 56 67 71 RH..............93 75 49 40 20 FT WIND......S 2 S 4G5 S 6G10 S 8G20 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 2800 3300 3100 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 SW 13 SW 14 SW 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFOPADUCAH REQUESTED BY...RAYMOND J PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090316.I207P.01/PAH