FNUS73 KPAH 161629 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR I-207-P...USFWS, CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1129 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE ITS MOVE EAST OF THE I-207-P BURN SITE TODAY...TAKING THE CLOUDS WITH THEM. BY NOON SPOT IGNITION TIME...NEARLY SUNSHINE WILL OCCUR...BUT SOME SCATTERED FAIR WEATHER CLOUDS MAY RETURN IN THE AFTERNOON SUNH. OTHERWISE IT'LL BE A LIGHT WIND FLOW REGIME...WITH WESTERLYS BECOMING SOUTHWEST OR SOUTH ABOUT 5 MPH BY THE END OF THE AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSUNNY AT IGNITION (0-10 PERCENT) BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) AGAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 69. RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 3-4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST OR SOUTH 5 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4000-4900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC PC PC PC MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............64 66 68 69 68 64 63 RH..............50 45 40 38 42 46 50 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW W W W SW 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 7 7 7 7 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2600-2800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 55 51 49 48 46 RH..............55 67 76 79 84 88 20 FT WIND......S 2 S 1 S 1 S 2 S 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 MIX HGT (FT)....4900 4600 4200 3800 3200 2800 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 7 NW 6 W 6 SW 6 SW 7 SW 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 5 5 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73. RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............45 56 67 71 RH..............93 75 49 40 20 FT WIND......S 2 S 4G5 S 6G10 S 8G20 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 2800 3300 3100 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 SW 13 SW 14 SW 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFOPADUCAH REQUESTED BY...RAYMOND J PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090316.I207P.02/PAH