FNUS73 KPAH 161617 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TURKEY KNOB...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1117 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1103 CDT ON MARCH 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DEPART TO THE EAST TODAY. AS IT DOES...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY TO WEDGE INTO TURKEY KNOB... WHICH WILL LEAD TO A RETURN OF SUNSHINE. IGNITION TIME SKY MAY SEE A MIX OF CLOUD WITH SUN AS THE CLOUDS CONTINUE CLEARING...BUT THEY MAY DEVELOP AGAIN IN THE AFTERNOON SUN TO OFFER A PARTLY CLOUDY SKY. WITH THE HIGH TRYING TO TAKE OVER FROM THE LOW...LOOK FOR LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS AT IGNITION TIME...WITH THE TREND BEING LIGHT WESTERLYS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........58 AT REQUEST...MAX 70. RH..................62 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 4 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST OR SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 2700-4600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............58 60 62 66 69 68 68 66 RH..............62 56 47 39 36 39 42 44 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W SW SW SW S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.5 3.7 3.9 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45. RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2100-2700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 58 54 52 50 48 RH..............48 60 68 71 77 82 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 2 S 2 S 2 SW 1 W 1 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....4800 4700 4300 3800 3100 2300 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 6 W 7 SW 8 SW 9 SW 9 SW 10 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 5 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74. RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............47 57 68 73 RH..............87 71 49 40 20 FT WIND......W 1 SW 5 SW 6G10 S 7G10 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2400 3100 3300 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 SW 13 SW 14 SW 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...WFOPADUCAH REQUESTED BY...TIM PERRIN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090316.TURKE.01/PAH