FNUS75 KBOU 181156 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR PAWNEE RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 554 AM MDT WED MAR 18 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA LAST NIGHT...SO COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY. THERE IS JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A PASSING LIGHT RAIN SHOWER OR SPRINKLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DRY AND WARMER WEATHER WILL THEN REDEVELOP THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. FIRE DANGER WILL BE INCREASING AS WELL...ESPECIALLY BY SUNDAY AS SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60. MIN HUMIDITY........26-28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 8-15 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST/SOUTHEAST 5-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 5000-6000 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 8200-9200 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 6400 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 3400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....33. MAX HUMIDITY........68%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 6-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....65. MIN HUMIDITY........18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5-9 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTH 6-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 4600-5600 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 7400-8400 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 5800 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR PAWNEE RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/18-05 60 0 37 57 N 12 1 272 N 14 3613 P 03/18-06 58 0 38 57 N 13 16 3 1 W31 339 N 17 4946 P 03/18-07 58 0 38 56 N 14 1 660 N 17 10422 P 03/18-08 58 0 39 54 N 14 1 980 N 18 15899 P 03/18-09 58 0 43 48 N 14 18 3 1 W31 1301 N 18 21376 P 03/18-10 49 0 47 42 NE 13 1 2618 N 14 20604 P 03/18-11 49 0 50 37 NE 10 1 3934 NW 9 19832 P 03/18-12 49 0 53 33 E 8 8 3 1 W36 5251 W 5 19060 P 03/18-13 49 0 56 30 E 7 1 6591 W 7 47472 F 03/18-14 49 10 57 29 SE 6 1 7932 W 10 75884 G 03/18-15 63 10 58 28 SE 6 6 3 1 W43 9272 W 13 104296 V 03/18-16 63 10 58 28 SE 7 1 6311 SW 12 70497 G 03/18-17 63 10 56 30 SE 8 1 3349 S 10 36697 P 03/18-18 71 10 53 33 SE 9 9 3 1 W37 388 S 8 2898 P 03/18-19 71 10 51 36 SE 9 1 321 SE 9 2498 P 03/18-20 71 10 48 41 SE 9 1 254 SE 10 2098 P 03/18-21 71 10 44 48 SE 9 9 3 1 W33 188 SE 10 1698 P 03/18-22 71 10 41 53 E 9 1 199 SE 10 1782 P 03/18-23 71 10 39 56 E 8 1 211 E 10 1865 P 03/19-00 47 0 38 58 E 8 8 3 1 W36 222 E 10 1948 P 03/19-01 47 0 36 62 E 8 1 234 E 9 1961 P 03/19-02 47 0 35 64 E 8 1 245 E 9 1975 P 03/19-03 32 0 35 67 E 8 8 2 1 W33 257 E 9 1988 P 03/19-04 32 0 34 68 E 8 1 345 E 9 2569 P 03/19-05 32 0 34 67 E 7 1 434 E 8 3151 P 03/19-06 50 0 35 67 E 7 7 3 1 W31 522 SE 8 3733 P 03/19-07 50 0 35 64 NW 6 1 477 W 2 1389 P 03/19-08 50 0 38 58 W 7 1 734 SW 3 2541 P 03/19-09 50 0 43 50 SW 7 7 2 1 W31 991 S 5 3693 P 03/19-10 50 0 46 41 SW 8 1 2079 S 6 14247 P 03/19-11 50 0 51 35 S 9 1 3167 S 8 24802 P 03/19-12 19 0 55 30 S 9 9 2 1 W30 4256 S 9 35356 P 03/19-13 19 0 59 25 S 9 1 5729 S 10 57427 F 03/19-14 19 0 61 22 S 9 1 7202 SW 13 79498 G 03/19-15 19 0 62 19 SE 8 8 3 1 W33 8675 SW 14 101568 V 03/19-16 19 0 62 18 S 8 1 5893 SW 12 68419 G 03/19-17 19 0 61 19 SE 8 1 3111 S 9 35271 P 03/19-18 32 0 58 19 SE 7 7 3 1 W33 329 S 7 2122 P 03/19-19 32 0 56 20 S 7 1 259 S 7 1651 P 03/19-20 32 0 52 23 S 7 1 190 S 7 1180 P 03/19-21 32 0 48 27 S 7 7 3 1 W28 120 S 7 709 P 03/19-22 32 0 45 30 SW 6 1 120 SW 7 671 P 03/19-23 32 0 44 33 W 6 1 120 SW 6 632 P 03/20-00 33 0 42 38 W 6 6 3 1 W29 120 SW 6 594 P 03/20-01 33 0 41 40 W 6 1 120 W 6 578 P 03/20-02 33 0 40 42 W 6 1 121 W 6 562 P 03/20-03 33 0 39 43 W 6 6 3 1 W23 121 W 6 546 P 03/20-04 33 0 38 45 W 6 1 117 W 5 507 P 03/20-05 33 0 39 44 W 5 1 112 W 5 468 P 03/20-06 25 0 39 45 W 5 5 3 1 W15 108 W 5 429 P 03/20-07 25 0 40 45 W 6 1 141 W 5 641 P 03/20-08 25 0 43 41 W 6 1 175 W 6 854 P 03/20-09 25 0 48 35 W 7 7 3 1 SW16 208 W 6 1066 P 03/20-10 25 0 54 29 SW 7 1 1147 SW 8 11898 P 03/20-11 25 0 59 25 SW 8 1 2086 S 10 22731 P 03/20-12 27 0 63 22 S 8 8 4 1 W17 3025 S 13 33564 P 03/20-13 27 0 67 19 SW 8 1 5020 S 14 59485 F 03/20-14 27 0 69 17 SW 8 1 7016 SW 14 85407 G 03/20-15 27 0 70 16 SW 8 8 3 1 W30 9011 SW 14 111328 V 03/20-16 27 0 70 16 SW 8 1 6074 SW 13 74717 G 03/20-17 27 0 68 16 W 8 1 3137 W 10 38105 P 03/20-18 47 0 65 19 W 8 8 5 1 W16 201 W 8 1494 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DAVID HAMRICK REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090318.PAWNE.01/BOU