FNUS72 KILM 181128
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR SANDY ISLAND...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
728 AM EDT WED MAR 18 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE CAROLINAS TODAY WILL DRIFT OFFSHORE
TONIGHT. MILD WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY AND THURSDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE
OF RAIN. WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS
WEEKEND AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES AND
MOVES INTO NORTH CAROLINA ON SUNDAY. THE HIGH WILL SLOWLY MOVE
OFFSHORE BY TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES MODERATING THE FIRST HALF
OF NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600-3800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 7 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........1      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     64     65     65
RH..............56     45     44     46
20 FT WIND......NE 5   E 5    E 6    SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2600   2600   3800   3600
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 10  NE 10  E 9    E 7

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 600-800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 1 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........4      11     11     15     24     24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............62     55     53     52     51     49
RH..............54     80     89     89     88     92
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 3   SE 1   SE 0   E 0    NE 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....3600   800    800    600    600    600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 7    E 8    E 8    E 6    E 3    E 3

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                    TO 6 MPH LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST AROUND 1 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 0
                       MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING
                       SOUTHWEST 0 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                       EARLY AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO 8 TO 10 MPH
                       EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........24     25     40     40     39     40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     48     56     64     68     69
RH..............100    96     79     64     58     57
20 FT WIND......N 2    N 2    NW 2   NW 2   W 2    SW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....700    800    800    3100   5000   5000
TRANSPORT WIND..E 1    SW 0   SW 0   SW 9   SW 10  SW 10

$$
FORECASTER...KEEBLER
REQUESTED BY...TOM DOOLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090318.SANDY.01/ILM