FNUS74 KLZK 172242 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR ERBY RX BURN...NPS BUFFALO NATIONAL RIVER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 542 PM CDT TUE MAR 17 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA TONIGHT...BUT MOVE TO THE EAST ON WEDNESDAY...AS A SOUTH WIND RETURNS TO ARKANSAS. SOME ELEVATED WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 10 TO 15 MPH OVER NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL STAY UP TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. OVERALL RAIN AMOUNTS WILL BE LOW. BEHIND THE FRONT SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER WILL BE NOTED INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 77. RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH IN THE MORNING...5 TO 9 MPH IN AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............64 68 71 73 75 76 75 RH..............49 44 40 37 34 32 32 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW EYE LVL WND SPD.4 5 5 5 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 14 14 12 12 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44. RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH. STABILITY CLASS.....5. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............73 70 66 63 60 58 56 55 53 52 50 46 RH..............33 37 42 48 53 56 60 63 67 69 70 79 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW W W NW N N N N N NE EYE LVL WND SPD.4 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W NW N N N N N NE TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 12 14 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59. RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 10 TO 16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5600 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............46 45 46 48 50 52 54 56 57 58 58 58 RH..............78 77 73 66 60 55 50 47 44 42 41 41 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 8 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...5600 FT MAX. TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 16 16 16 15 15 14 12 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...COLLEEN BREEDLOVE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090318.ERBYR.01/LZK