FNUS75 KBOU 191243 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR PAWNEE RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 643 AM MDT THU MAR 19 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A DRY AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE STATE TODAY WITH WEAK WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AREA OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL PRODUCE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER THAN SEASONAL NORMALS BUT NOT AS WARM AS WE HAVE SEEN ON SOME DAYS IN THE PAST COUPLE WEEKS. WARMER TEMPERATURES AND DRIER HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS WARM SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT INCREASES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-64. MIN HUMIDITY........22-28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTH 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14-22 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 5600-6600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300. GOOD AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-40. MAX HUMIDITY........60-68%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 9-15 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 400-1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-74. MIN HUMIDITY........12-18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTH 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN INCREASING TO 11000-12000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR PAWNEE RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/19-06 29 0 33 67 SE 5 5 3 1 W32 397 SE 13 4493 P 03/19-07 29 0 34 63 SE 6 1 969 SE 15 14833 P 03/19-08 29 0 37 59 SE 6 1 1541 S 17 25172 P 03/19-09 29 0 41 52 SE 7 7 3 1 W24 2114 S 20 35511 P 03/19-10 29 0 46 44 SE 8 1 2779 S 17 37253 P 03/19-11 29 0 50 38 S 9 1 3444 S 14 38994 P 03/19-12 11 0 54 34 S 9 9 2 1 W23 4109 S 12 40736 F 03/19-13 11 0 57 30 S 10 1 5151 S 12 52728 F 03/19-14 11 0 59 27 S 10 1 6193 S 12 64720 G 03/19-15 11 0 60 25 S 12 12 2 1 W23 7235 S 13 76713 G 03/19-16 11 0 60 25 S 13 1 6169 S 14 72654 G 03/19-17 11 0 58 28 S 13 1 5103 S 16 68596 G 03/19-18 9 0 56 32 S 14 14 2 1 W29 4037 S 18 64538 G 03/19-19 9 0 54 33 S 13 1 2756 S 17 43782 F 03/19-20 9 0 50 36 SE 12 1 1474 S 15 23026 P 03/19-21 9 0 47 40 SE 10 10 2 1 W30 193 SE 14 2269 P 03/19-22 9 0 45 42 SE 10 1 194 S 14 2265 P 03/19-23 9 0 43 45 S 10 1 195 S 14 2261 P 03/20-00 42 0 42 48 S 10 10 3 1 W33 196 S 14 2257 P 03/20-01 42 0 40 53 S 9 1 190 S 12 1890 P 03/20-02 42 0 39 57 S 7 1 184 S 9 1524 P 03/20-03 42 0 38 59 S 5 5 3 1 W29 178 S 7 1157 P 03/20-04 42 0 38 60 SW 5 1 174 S 6 823 P 03/20-05 42 0 38 58 SW 3 1 170 S 3 490 P 03/20-06 25 0 38 57 CALM 1 3 1 W24 165 CALM 156 P 03/20-07 25 0 39 55 S 2 1 194 SW 2 431 P 03/20-08 25 0 43 47 W 3 1 224 W 3 707 P 03/20-09 25 0 48 38 NW 3 3 3 1 W25 253 NW 5 982 P 03/20-10 25 0 54 31 W 2 1 1491 W 5 6720 P 03/20-11 25 0 59 25 CALM 1 2729 SW 5 12459 P 03/20-12 27 0 64 22 CALM 1 3 1 W30 3967 SW 6 18197 P 03/20-13 27 0 67 19 S 3 1 6662 SW 8 60055 G 03/20-14 27 0 70 17 S 7 1 9358 SW 10 101914 V 03/20-15 27 0 71 17 S 9 9 3 1 W26 12053 W 14 143772 V 03/20-16 27 0 71 17 S 10 1 8175 SW 13 97079 G 03/20-17 27 0 69 18 S 10 1 4297 S 12 50386 F 03/20-18 47 0 65 21 S 9 9 4 1 W25 419 S 10 3693 P 03/20-19 47 0 62 23 S 8 1 322 S 9 2765 P 03/20-20 47 0 57 28 SE 8 1 225 SE 9 1836 P 03/20-21 47 0 52 34 E 7 7 4 1 W22 128 E 8 907 P 03/20-22 47 0 49 39 E 7 1 122 E 9 910 P 03/20-23 47 0 46 44 E 8 1 115 E 9 913 P 03/21-00 47 0 44 47 E 8 8 4 1 W18 108 E 9 916 P 03/21-01 47 0 42 52 E 7 1 103 E 8 721 P 03/21-02 47 0 41 54 E 6 1 98 E 6 527 P 03/21-03 47 0 40 57 NE 5 5 5 1 SW16 93 E 5 332 P 03/21-04 47 0 40 58 NE 5 1 97 NE 5 395 P 03/21-05 47 0 40 58 N 6 1 100 N 6 458 P 03/21-06 31 5 40 57 N 6 6 5 1 SW13 104 N 6 520 P 03/21-07 31 5 41 54 N 6 1 127 N 6 628 P 03/21-08 31 5 44 47 N 5 1 151 N 6 736 P 03/21-09 31 5 49 39 N 5 5 5 1 S15 174 N 6 843 P 03/21-10 31 5 54 31 NE 5 1 785 N 6 3852 P 03/21-11 31 5 59 25 NE 6 1 1396 NE 6 6861 P 03/21-12 31 5 63 21 E 6 6 4 1 S20 2007 NE 6 9870 P 03/21-13 31 5 66 18 E 6 1 5009 E 7 40499 F 03/21-14 31 5 69 16 E 7 1 8010 SE 9 71128 G 03/21-15 31 5 70 15 E 7 7 3 1 S18 11012 S 10 101757 V 03/21-16 31 5 69 15 E 8 1 8140 S 9 72660 G 03/21-17 31 5 67 16 E 8 1 5268 SE 8 43564 F 03/21-18 32 5 64 18 E 7 7 3 1 S23 2396 E 7 14467 P 03/21-19 32 5 61 20 NE 5 1 1641 E 7 9859 P 03/21-20 32 5 56 24 N 6 1 887 NE 6 5250 P 03/21-21 32 5 51 30 N 6 6 3 1 SW14 132 N 6 642 P 03/21-22 32 5 48 35 NW 7 1 120 N 7 655 P 03/21-23 32 5 45 39 NW 8 1 108 NW 7 667 P 03/22-00 32 5 43 43 W 9 9 3 1 SW16 96 W 8 680 P 03/22-01 32 5 41 47 W 9 1 96 W 8 671 P 03/22-02 32 5 40 50 W 9 1 95 W 8 662 P 03/22-03 32 5 39 53 SW 8 8 3 1 SW28 94 W 8 652 P 03/22-04 32 5 39 55 SW 8 1 102 SW 7 645 P 03/22-05 32 5 39 55 S 7 1 110 SW 7 638 P 03/22-06 40 0 39 48 S 7 7 3 1 SW20 118 S 6 632 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JOHN A WEBER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090319.PAWNE.02/BOU