FNUS75 KGJT 200657 FWSGJT SPOT FORECAST FOR TOMICHI...USFS GUNNISON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 1257 AM MDT FRI MAR 20 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1630 MDT ON MARCH 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A STRONG RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH THE MAIN PART OF THE RIDGE MOVING EAST OF THE AREA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHERN COLORADO, ADDING A BIT OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY. EXPECT ISOLATED MOUNTAIN SHOWERS AND THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS ALOFT WILL BE MODERATE AND FROM THE SOUTHWEST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-80%) MAINLY MID AND HIGH CLOUD. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM OVER NEARBY MOUNTAINS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54 F. MIN HUMIDITY........21-26%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN WEST 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1030, THEN FAIR. IMPROVING TO GOOD ABOUT NOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7700 FT AGL BY 1400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN BECOMING WEST 12 MPH. .TONIGHT... SMOKE DISPERSAL.....AFTER SUNSET BECOMING POOR. OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY 3/21 AND 3/22 - WARM AND DRY SATURDAY WITH SLOWLY INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS AHEAD A STRONG PACIFIC STORM. THE STORM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. SUNDAY SHOULD START OUT DRY AND WINDY (STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS), THEN A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PASS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON WITH RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. $$ FORECASTER...CHRIS CUOCO REQUESTED BY...J CHONKA TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090319.TOMIC.01/GJT