FNUS72 KILM 191044
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR SANDY ISLAND 2...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
644 AM EDT THU MAR 19 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON MARCH 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. COLD
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD FROM THE NORTH BEGINNING FRIDAY AND
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MILDER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...BECOMING SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                    TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4200-5500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST AROUND 3 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 3 TO
                       10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING
                       WEST 12 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........15     12     14     16
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     67     70     70
RH..............70     55     50     50
20 FT WIND......W 3    W 4    SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....200    4200   5500   5500
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 3   NW 10  W 13   W 13

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 6
                    TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 13 TO
                       14 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........18     24     50     64     83     88
WEATHER COV.....       SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............67     62     59     57     55     53
RH..............55     68     74     77     78     76
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 4    SW 4   W 4    N 5    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....5500   500    500    500    1000   1000
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12   SW 8   SW 8   SW 9   N 14   N 14

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400-5000 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTH 13 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........83     64     54     40     29     23
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............51     51     55     59     61     61
RH..............77     74     62     52     47     45
20 FT WIND......N 6    N 8    N 9    N 10   NE 9   N 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   1900   1900   3400   5000   5000
TRANSPORT WIND..N 13   NE 16  NE 16  NE 20  N 15   N 15

$$
FORECASTER...KREITNER
REQUESTED BY...TOM DOOLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090319.SANDY.01/ILM