FNUS73 KPAH 190937 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD KEHRES POND...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 437 AM CDT THU MAR 19 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ANY LINGERING CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOULD END BEFORE THE IGNITION TIME OF THE PRESCRIBED BURN. CLOUD COVER WILL SLOWLY DECREASE THROUGH 2 PM... WITH A MORE RAPID CLEARING FROM 2 PM THROUGH SUNSET. IT IS DURING THIS TIME THAT A MORE RAPID REDUCTION IN MINIMUM DAYTIME RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE REALIZED. WINDS WILL REMAIN STEADY FROM THE NORTHEAST...BLOWING UPSLOPE TOWARD THE RIDGE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY. SUFFICENT MIXING SHOULD BE IN PLACE TO SEND ANY SMOKE PLUME AWAY FROM THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA...ESPECIALLY DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON. ANY MEANINGFUL DRYING OF FINE FUELS WILL NOT OCCUR UNTIL THE EARLY AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 58. RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2700-4600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-4700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 22 TO 30 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW TEMP............52 54 54 55 56 57 56 55 RH..............59 51 48 45 41 39 40 42 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 9 9 8 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 4.1 4.3 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.25 24 23 22 22 22 22 22 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33. RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400-2200 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 23 TO 24 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............52 46 42 40 37 36 RH..............46 58 64 68 72 70 20 FT WIND......NE 6 NE 5 NE 5 NE 4 NE 3 NE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....4500 3700 2700 1900 1500 1500 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 23 NE 23 NE 23 NE 23 NE 23 NE 24 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58. RH..................MIN 31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............35 44 53 57 RH..............71 55 37 33 20 FT WIND......NE 3G5 E 5G10 E 6G10 SE 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....1700 2900 4000 4300 TRANSPORT WIND..E 23 E 17 E 12 E 9 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...SMITH REQUESTED BY...SANDY MENDENHALL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090319.OLDKE.01/PAH