FNUS73 KPAH 201248 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR ONE HORSE GAP...USFS SHAWNEE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 748 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... VERY LOW HUMIDITY EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE TODAY...BUT WINDS WILL BE LIGHT...AND WHAT LITTLE WIND THERE IS WILL RUN UPSLOPE. SOME RECOVERY WILL OCCUR TONIGHT...BUT MIXING HEIGHTS MAY DROP BELOW 1000 FT...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN SOME SMOKE MANAGEMENT ISSUES. SATURDAY WILL LOOK VERY SIMILAR TO TODAYS CONDITIONS...EXCEPT FOR PERHAPS MORE CLOUD COVER. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 56. RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 22 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...REMAINING NEARLY STEADY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO NEAR 4600 FT AGL IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............42 45 48 51 53 55 56 55 53 RH..............53 45 39 34 30 27 24 27 30 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E NE NE E E 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 4 4 4 4 5 4 3 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 3.6 4.0 4.3 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.4 4.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 9 8 8 8 9 10 10 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36. RH..................MAX 58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1900 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............51 46 43 42 40 39 RH..............31 35 38 42 45 51 20 FT WIND......E 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 MIX HGT (FT)....3900 3000 1900 1000 700 700 TRANSPORT WIND..E 12 E 12 E 12 E 12 SE 12 SE 12 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59. RH..................MIN 28 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO NEAR 4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............38 46 54 59 RH..............58 49 34 30 20 FT WIND......E 2G5 SE 4G5 SE 4G5 SE 3G5 MIX HGT (FT)....1100 2300 3500 4200 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12 SE 9 SE 7 S 7 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...SPAETH REQUESTED BY...JON TEUTRINE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090320.ONEHO.01/PAH