FNUS75 KPUB 202309
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOLF COURSE...BACA COUNTY EOC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
509 PM MDT FRI MAR 20 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
BURN SITE THIS EVENING.  THIS DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO BE OF LITTLE
CONSEQUENCE OTHER THAN SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS.  THERE
IS A SLIM CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED EVENING THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING
LIGHTNING...BUT LITTLE RAIN AS THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN
QUITE DRY. THE WIND FORECAST FOR THIS EVENING IS A LITTLE TRICKY AS THE
BURN SITE IS NEAR THE EDGE OF A POSSIBLE WIND SHIFT. AS OF THE TIME
OF THIS FORECAST...WINDS WERE LIGHT...LESS THAN 5 MPH...AND FROM
THE NORTHEAST.  HOWEVER...THEY COULD COME UP FROM THE SOUTH OR
SOUTHEAST YET THIS EVENING...IN THE 10-15 MPH RANGE.

FOR SATURDAY...ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE BURN SITE.
THIS ONE LOOKS A LITTLE STRONGER.  IT WILL LIKELY BRING AN INCREASE
IN CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON ALONG WITH INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS
AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(70 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47F.
MAX HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT EARLY THIS EVENING...OTHERWISE
                    REACHING A MAX OF 73-78 PERCENT BY TOMORROW
                    MORNING.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST TO NORTHEAST 5 MPH...BUT POSSIBLY
                    BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 0500...THEN AROUND 18
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1200...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    SOUTH 13-17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RAISING TO 6000 FT AGL 1100-1300.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...NICK PALMER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090320.GOLFC.03/PUB