FNUS73 KSGF 201421 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR MANELY...WILSON CREEK NB NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 921 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM RAPIDLY DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...BECOMING STEADY BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON WHEN CLOUD COVER INCREASES OVER THE BURN SITE. WINDS WILL MAINTAIN A SOUTHERLY COMPONENT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH TYPICAL DIURNAL VEERING FROM SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST. LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....40 CURRENTLY...51 AT IGNITION...MAX 61. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 23 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...GRADUALLY VEERING TO SOUTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OVER 20 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT..........SLIGHT SHIFT TO SOUTH AND SLIGHTLY WEST OF SOUTH. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 4100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 18 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............51 54 56 58 59 61 59 RH..............37 33 30 27 25 23 24 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 9 9 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 3.5 3.5 3.9 4.1 4.1 3.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 20 20 20 21 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 42. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 73 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............58 57 54 51 50 49 48 47 46 46 45 44 RH..............35 38 44 48 52 55 58 60 64 67 71 73 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.4 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 20 20 18 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 30 30 30 30 30 30 70 70 70 70 70 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 57. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 60 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHIFT..........SLIGHT VEERING TO SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIP....60 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 16 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............44 44 44 46 48 50 52 54 55 56 57 56 RH..............76 78 77 72 68 65 63 62 62 61 60 62 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 17 18 20 20 21 21 21 20 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 70 70 70 70 40 40 40 40 40 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...TERRY REQUESTED BY...BOBBY BLOODWORTH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090320.MANEL.01/SGF