FNUS75 KGJT 211409 FWSGJT SPOT FORECAST FOR TOMICHI...USFS GUNNISON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 809 AM MDT SAT MAR 21 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0805 MDT ON MARCH 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A DEEPENING PACIFIC STORM WILL BRING INCREASED SOUTHWEST FLOW AND UNSEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES TODAY. SOME LIGHT DISTURBANCES WILL GENERATE ISOLATED SHOWERS...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHEST TERRAIN. DRY AIR AT LOWER ELEVATIONS POINTS TO MORE WIND THAN RAINFALL AT THE FIRE SITE. GRADIENT FLOW INCREASES SUNDAY AS THE STORM MOVES INTO THE GREAT BASIN. INCREASED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) AFTER 1200. ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-67 F. MIN HUMIDITY........15-19%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH 1000...THEN INCREASING TO 10 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH BY 1200. GUSTS TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF SHOWERS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR THROUGH 1000...THEN VERY GOOD BY 1200. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 10000 FT AGL BY 1300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH THROUGH 1000...THE SOUTHWEST 15 MPH. .TONIGHT... SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (13000-17100 KNOT-FT) BY 2200. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) BY 1300. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING EXCELLENT BY 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 MPH THROUGH 1000...THEN INCREASING TO 30 MPH BY 1200. $$ FORECASTER...NORV LARSON REQUESTED BY...J CHONKA TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090321.TOMIC.01/GJT