FNUS73 KPAH 211251 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CLAYTON HOLLOW...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 751 AM CDT SAT MAR 21 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL NOT PROVIDE WETTING RAIN...AND THEY SHOULD MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY IGNITION TIME. HOWEVER...THE OVERCAST SKIES WILL BE SLOW TO BREAK UP AND MAY NOT DO SO UNTIL AFTER NOON. THIS SHOULD BE OF LITTLE CONSEQUENCE AS THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS ALREADY IN THE LOW 50S. ONE PROBLEM MAY BE THE VERY LIGHT EAST OR SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED TODAY. LITTLE RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY EXIST ON SUNDAY...ALONG WITH A LITTLE BIT STRONGER SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WIND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........48 AT IGNITION...MAX 61. RH..................42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............47 50 52 55 58 59 60 59 58 RH..............44 40 37 33 30 29 28 29 31 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 4 4 3 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.7 3.9 4.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37. RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1700 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............55 49 46 43 41 40 RH..............34 43 49 55 61 68 20 FT WIND......E 2 SE 3 SE 3 SE 4 SE 5 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....4000 3300 2200 1300 900 800 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 7 SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 S 12 S 12 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65. RH..................MIN 31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4600 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............39 49 60 64 RH..............75 55 38 33 20 FT WIND......SE 5G10 SE 5G10 S 5 S 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 2600 4100 4600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 S 10 S 10 S 12 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...SPAETH REQUESTED BY...FRANK PAUKERT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090321.CLAYT.01/PAH