FNUS73 KPAH 211407 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST BRANCH...USFWS, CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 907 AM CDT SAT MAR 21 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A FEW SHOWERS WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THIS MORNING...BUT MOST AREAS WILL NOT RECEIVE ANY WETTING RAIN. HUMIDITIES EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOWER 30S...BUT WINDS WILL BE LIGHT DUE TO SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE STILL RIDGING INTO THE AREA. A BIT MORE OF A SOUTHEAST OR SOUTH WIND CAN BE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON...BUT OTHERWISE CONDITIONS WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY. PORTIONS OF WEST KENTUCKY FROM THE LAKES EASTWARD WILL SEE LOW RELATIVE HUMIIDITY AGAIN ON MONDAY...WHILE THE REST OF THE AREA BEGINS TO MOISTEN UP AHEAD OF OUR NEXT WEATHER MAKER. THIS SYSTEM COULD BRING HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE REGION TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS EARLY. TEMPERATURE.........46 AT IGNITION...MAX 60. RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................5 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1000-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3400 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............48 51 53 55 57 58 59 58 57 RH..............49 44 41 38 36 35 35 38 43 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 4 4 4 4 3 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38. RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1100 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............55 49 46 44 42 41 RH..............50 60 65 69 68 69 20 FT WIND......S 2 SW 2 S 1 NE 0 E 2 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3400 2800 1900 1100 700 500 TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 9 S 9 S 10 S 10 S 9 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66. RH..................MIN 33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3500 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............40 50 61 65 RH..............75 58 40 35 20 FT WIND......E 2 SE 5 S 5 S 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....700 2300 3500 2500 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 9 S 10 S 10 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...PACKETT REQUESTED BY...RAYMOND J PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090321.LOSTB.01/PAH