FNUS71 KRLX 211608 FWSRLX SPOT FORECAST FOR SHOCK RUN...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 1208 PM EDT SAT MAR 21 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON MARCH 21. .DISCUSSION... A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING DRY WEATHER THIS WEEKEND...ALTHOUGH A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL BRING SOME HIGH CLOUDS TODAY. THE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE THE STRETCH OF DRY DAYS INTO MONDAY AND TUESDAY...ALTHOUGH CLOUDS WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY EACH DAY AS THE FLOW TURNS SOUTHERLY...INCREASING THE MOISTURE. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR WETTING RAIN DOES NOT COME UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WHEN A WEAKENING FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA. THE CHANCE OF A SHOWER REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY...AS THE MOISTURE LINGERS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 47. RH..................34 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 500-2400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-4000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 0 TO 5 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........19 28 33 33 32 31 34 39 48 47 45 44 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............21 20 21 25 31 35 38 41 43 44 45 46 RH..............56 59 59 60 53 45 40 34 32 29 27 26 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SE SE SE SE S S S SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 15 10 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.5 3.0 3.6 4.0 MIXNG WIND DIR..E S S S SE SE SE S S S SW SW MIXNG WIND SPD..0 0 0 1 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 27. RH..................MAX 66 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-2000 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........44 43 43 41 37 33 30 26 24 21 17 12 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............45 43 40 38 36 34 33 32 31 30 30 29 RH..............27 30 34 37 42 45 47 51 53 58 58 60 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W NW 20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 10 5 5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.3 4.4 4.1 3.2 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 MIXNG WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W NW MIXNG WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 50. RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-4100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........7 4 21 32 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............28 32 42 47 RH..............66 58 45 35 20 FT WIND......NW 1G5 NW 1 NW 2G5 NW 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....200 300 1700 3800 MIXNG WIND......NW 2 NW 2 NW 5 NW 7 CWR.............0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....4 5 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...TRM REQUESTED BY...CAMERON CRISP TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090321.SHOCK.02/RLX