FNUS73 KJKL 221012
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR WALLOW...USDA - DANIEL BOONE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
612 AM EDT SUN MAR 22 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES START OUT LOW THIS MORNING...
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE RIDGES. SOME MOISTURE DOES RETURN TO THE AREA
THROUGH THE DAY. HOWEVER...WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES THE NET RESULT
LEAVES RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AT OR BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLD THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE LIGHT TODAY...AND MONDAY BUT
WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH BY TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES
THE REGION. SHOWERS WILL BECOME LIKELY WEDNESDAY AS THIS FRONT MOVES
THROUGH EAST KENTUCKY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL.
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK LOOKS UNSETTLED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....21.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 5 MPH.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....17.

$$
FORECASTER...RAY
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090322.BEARW.01/JKL