FNUS73 KJKL 221040 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR GOBBLERS KNOB B...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 640 AM EDT SUN MAR 22 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TODAY... .DISCUSSION...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES START OUT LOW THIS MORNING... ESPECIALLY ALONG THE RIDGES. SOME MOISTURE DOES RETURN TO THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY. HOWEVER...WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES THE NET RESULT LEAVES RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AT OR BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLD THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE LIGHT TODAY...AND MONDAY BUT WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH BY TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION. SHOWERS WILL BECOME LIKELY WEDNESDAY AS THIS FRONT MOVES THROUGH EAST KENTUCKY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL. THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK LOOKS UNSETTLED. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE EARLY EVENING. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. POP.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....27. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........3 11 20 25 31 45 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............36 48 58 64 67 64 RH..............72 52 31 23 23 29 20 FT WIND......SE 1 S 3 SW 5 SW 6 SW 5 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 10 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH LESS THAN 5 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH LESS THAN 5 MPH. POP.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........49 56 63 64 65 66 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 55 51 48 46 45 RH..............34 47 58 66 71 73 20 FT WIND......SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE EARLY EVENING. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH. POP.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....21. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........66 63 58 54 51 46 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............44 51 59 64 67 67 RH..............76 64 48 37 35 36 20 FT WIND......S 2 S 3 S 3 S 5 S 3 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...RAY REQUESTED BY...TOM BARNES BIG SOUTH FORK NRRA FMO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090322.GOBBL.01/JKL