FNUS71 KCTP 230947 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR FTIG RX FIRE 23 MARCH 09...ARMY NATIONAL GUARD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 547 AM EDT MON MAR 23 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON MARCH 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... LOW FINE FUEL MOISTURE AND AFTERNOON RH/S NR 20PCT WILL COMBINE WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS LATER TODAY TO CREATE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR THE INITIATION AND RAPID SPREAD OF WILDFIRES ACROSS EASTERN PA. THE HIGHEST WINDS AND MOST DANGEROUS CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 2 PM AND 6 PM. ALTHOUGH DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD DIRECTLY OVER PENNSYLVANIA ON TUESDAY...RESULTING IN LIGHTER WINDS. HIGHER RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY...AS MOISTURE STREAMS INTO THE STATE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............32 38 42 45 RH..............40 28 23 20 20 FT WIND......N 6 N 7 NW 8 NW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 TRANSPORT WIND..N 20 N 18 NW 18 NW 22 LAL.............1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....4 2 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22. MAX HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 22 TO 31 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........0 0 1 2 3 3 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............42 35 30 26 24 23 RH..............22 29 35 41 47 49 20 FT WIND......NW 8 N 6 SW 7 SE 6 N 5 N 4 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 5 TRANSPORT WIND..N 26 N 30 N 31 N 30 N 29 NE 24 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....2 5 5 2 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 14 TO 22 MPH...DECREASING TO 3 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........3 2 8 15 20 22 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............22 23 31 39 45 48 RH..............51 49 35 25 20 20 20 FT WIND......N 4 N 4 N 5 NE 5 N 3 NE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 5 5 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 22 NE 22 NE 16 NE 10 NE 7 NE 5 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....2 4 4 2 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...FITZGERALD REQUESTED BY...SHANNON HENRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090323.FTIGR.01/CTP