FNUS71 KCTP 231841 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR FTIG RX FIRE 23 MARCH 09...ARMY NATIONAL GUARD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 241 PM EDT MON MAR 23 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2000 EDT ON MARCH 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... LOW FINE FUEL MOISTURE AND AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 20 PERCENT WILL COMBINE WITH GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS TO INCREASE THE WILDFIRE DANGER OVER EASTERN PA. ALTHOUGH DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD DIRECTLY OVER PENNSYLVANIA ON TUESDAY...RESULTING IN LIGHTER WINDS. HIGHER RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY...AS MOISTURE STREAMS INTO THE STATE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. TEMPERATURE.........44. RH..................MAX 53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 11 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 22 TO 24 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............41 37 RH..............21 25 20 FT WIND DIR..N N 20 FT WIND SPD..9 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N TRANSP WIND SPD.24 22 LAL.............1 1 HAINES INDEX....6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. TEMPERATURE.........34 AT IGNITION...MIN 20. RH..................29 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 16 TO 24 MPH...DECREASING TO 13 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 3 3 2 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............34 31 29 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 23 RH..............29 32 36 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 46 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 4 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.21 22 23 24 22 18 16 14 14 14 13 13 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 49. RH..................MIN 18 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........2 8 15 20 22 23 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............27 33 40 49 47 43 RH..............41 32 25 18 20 26 20 FT WIND......N 4 N 5 N 5 N 4 NE 3 NE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 5 5 5 TRANSPORT WIND..N 13 NE 13 NE 13 N 10 NE 12 NE 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/LAMBERT REQUESTED BY...MR SHANNON HENRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090323.FTIGR.02/CTP