FNUS73 KJKL 231022 CCA
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR WALLOW...USDA - DANIEL BOONE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
615 AM EDT MON MAR 23 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON MARCH 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AGAIN TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLIDE IN FROM THE NORTHEAST
TODAY...PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR A GOOD BIT OF CLOUD COVER. HOWEVER...
DRIER AIR WILL ALSO FILTER INTO THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA AND
PRODUCE ANOTHER DAY OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. LOCATIONS THAT WILL
SEE THE LOWEST HUMIDITIES WILL GENERALLY BE FOUND BETWEEN THE
MOUNTAIN AND HAL ROGER PARKWAYS...GOING EASTWARD. HUMIDITIES RECOVER
A BIT ON TUESDAY AS WINDS PICK UP FROM THE SOUTH. RAIN WILL MOVE
INTO THE AREA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM
PASSES THROUGH THE REGION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AT 3 TO 5 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....33.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........61     61     63     56     51
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     61     67     70     69
RH..............58     45     38     33     34
20 FT WIND......SE 2   S 3    S 3    S 3    SE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........45     45     44     42     44     45
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............64     59     56     53     51     49
RH..............40     49     58     68     73     77
20 FT WIND......SE 2   SE 2   SE 1   SE 1   SE 1   SE 0
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      4      4      4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHEAST 2 TO 4 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 10 TO
                    15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST 2 TO 4 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 10 TO
                    15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....126.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........46     47     49     50     52     54
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............49     56     63     67     70     70
RH..............80     63     50     43     39     40
20 FT WIND......SE 1   SE 3   S 8    S 10   S 9    S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      10     20     20     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...RAY
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090323.BEARW.01/JKL

...CORRECTED TRANSPORT WIND FOR TODAY...