FNUS74 KLZK 231308 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR SHUT IN SOUTH...U.S.FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 808 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP SOUTHERLY WINDS OVER THE AREA TODAY. SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL GUST TO AT LEAST 30 MPH. A WEAK SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BRING LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS TO THE AREA. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT. A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY WILL BRING A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE MAIN THREATS. THE NEXT STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS FRIDAY WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 71. RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 54 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 39 TO 47 MPH INCREASING TO 49 TO 52 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3400 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............65 66 68 69 70 70 70 RH..............65 62 59 58 56 55 55 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.9 9 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND GST.10 13 15 15 15 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.43 43 44 46 47 49 52 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 59. RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 51 TO 55 MPH. STABILITY CLASS.....4. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............70 67 65 64 62 61 RH..............56 61 66 68 71 75 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.10 10 11 11 11 10 EYE LVL WND GST.15 13 13 13 13 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.53 55 55 54 53 52 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 30 30 40 40 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65. RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 46 TO 52 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND DECREASING TO 36 TO 41 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3400 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............60 61 63 64 RH..............79 72 60 53 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S SW EYE LVL WND SPD.9 9 10 8 EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 13 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW TRANSP WIND SPD.51 52 52 41 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 60 60 60 $$ FORECASTER...58 REQUESTED BY...BECKY FINZER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090323.SHUTI.01/LZK