FNUS72 KMHX 231209 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR FARRIER FARM...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 809 AM EDT MON MAR 23 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN CANADA WILL BUILD DOWN THE EASTERN SEABOARD...THEN MOVE EAST LATE IN THE WEEK. A COLD FRONT OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WEDNESDAY WILL MOVE EAST AND SLOWLY DISSIPATE OVER THE APPALACHIANS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A STRONGER FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE CAROLINAS THIS WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3900-4100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........36 44 46 50 47 47 46 47 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............47 53 55 57 59 59 59 57 RH..............72 49 46 42 39 36 39 42 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 8 9 10 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 12 12 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........46 39 37 35 30 25 20 15 13 15 18 22 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............54 53 49 48 45 43 42 41 40 39 39 37 RH..............50 52 61 63 71 76 77 78 79 80 77 82 20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E E NE NE E E NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3200-3800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........26 30 32 33 35 38 40 42 43 40 34 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............37 37 37 40 43 48 50 51 52 53 53 51 RH..............82 82 82 70 60 47 43 40 38 37 37 40 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...CULLEN REQUESTED BY...JAMES CHERRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090323.FARRI.01/MHX