FNUS73 KPAH 231456 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR BRANDIEWIEDE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 956 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOW HUMIDITY WILL PERSIST AS YESTERDAY WITH SOME INCREASE IN MOISTURE WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. HOWEVER INCREASING WINDS TODAY MIGHT NEGATE OVERALL IMPROVEMENT. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A FEW SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS...BUT MOST AREAS SHOULD REMAIN DRY WITH SOME CLOUDS THIS MORNING...BECOMING MORE SUNNY BY AFTERNOON. TUESDAY WILL SEE AN INCREASE IN RH...BUT THE WIND WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT FOR CONTROL OF ANY FIRE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 72. RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1400-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-5400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 33 MPH. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............65 67 69 71 71 71 70 RH..............50 49 47 44 45 46 46 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 13 14 14 14 14 20 FT WIND GUST.25 30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 3.8 4.6 5.2 5.4 5.1 4.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.29 29 30 31 32 33 33 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 57. RH..................MAX 76 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1500 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 35 TO 41 MPH DECREASING TO 28 TO 31 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............68 65 62 61 59 58 RH..............48 55 59 65 72 75 20 FT WIND......SE 13 S 10 S 9 S 9 S 9 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.30 25 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 2100 1100 800 700 600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 35 S 39 S 41 S 38 S 31 S 28 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 2 2 2 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64. RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 29 TO 37 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............57 60 62 63 RH..............76 72 70 63 20 FT WIND......S 10G25 S 13G30 S 12G30 S 14G35 MIX HGT (FT)....700 2100 2400 2100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 29 S 35 S 41 S 43 CWR.............0 0 70 70 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...WIELGOS REQUESTED BY...BOBBY BLOODWORTH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090323.BRAND.01/PAH