FNUS73 KSGF 230326 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR BARNEY RX...USFS MARK TWAIN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1001 PM CDT SUN MAR 22 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON MARCH 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A STRONG EARLY SPRING STORM CENTERED ALONG THE WESTERN NEBRASKA AND WESTERN KANSAS BORDER EARLY MONDAY MORNING WILL MOVE NORTHEAST INTO SOUTH DAKOTA BY EARLY TUESDAY. A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE PLAINS INTO EASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI ON TUESDAY MORNING. STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP WELL AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH CONTINUED WARM TEMPERATURES. WIND GUSTS OF OVER 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON EXPOSED RIDGE TOPS AND SOUTH FACING SLOPES. THE PERSISTENT SOUTH WINDS WILL BRING UP SOME INCREASED MOISTURE. A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS...MAINLY NORTH OF THE BURN SITE ARE EXPECTED MONDAY...BUT BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN/THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR TUESDAY. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60 AT IGNITION...MAX 69. MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 3500 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 30 TO 40 MPH INCREASING TO 40 TO 45 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............57 62 65 66 RH..............70 63 54 50 20 FT WIND......S 12 S 14 S 14 S 18 20 FT WIND GUST.25 30 30 35 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 3500 3300 3000 TRANSPORT WIND..S 35 S 38 S 40 S 44 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 54. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 80 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............64 60 58 56 RH..............57 64 67 75 20 FT WIND......S 14G30 S 14G30 S 14G30 S 14G30 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 30 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 65. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 66 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHIFT..........LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. CHANCE OF PRECIP....80 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 40 TO 50 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 35 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............55 58 62 RH..............83 79 72 20 FT WIND......S 15G30 S 14G35 S 14G30 MIX HGT (FT)....800 1900 3800 TRANSPORT WIND..S 41 S 46 S 48 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 80 80 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...ALBERT REQUESTED BY...CHARLENE ROGERS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090323.BARNE.01/SGF