FNUS73 KSGF 230301 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR CUB CREEK...USDA - FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 950 PM CDT SUN MAR 22 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN EARLY SPRING STRONG STORM CENTERED ALONG THE WESTERN NEBRASKA AND WESTERN KANSAS BORDER EARLY MONDAY MORNING WILL MOVE NORTHEAST INTO SOUTH DAKOTA BY EARLY TUESDAY. A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE PLAINS INTO EASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI ON TUESDAY MORNING. STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP WELL AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH CONTINUED WARM TEMPERATURES. WIND GUSTS OF OVER 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON EXPOSED RIDGE TOPS AND SOUTH FACING SLOPES. THE PERSISTENT SOUTH WINDS WILL BRING UP SOME INCREASED MOISTURE. A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS...MAINLY NORTH OF THE BURN SITE ARE EXPECTED MONDAY...BUT BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN/THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR TUESDAY. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60 AT IGNITION...MAX 68. MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHIFT..........NONE CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 4000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 28 TO 37 MPH INCREASING TO 40 TO 45 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............60 64 65 65 RH..............66 61 58 54 20 FT WIND......S 13 S 13 S 14 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 4000 3500 3200 TRANSPORT WIND..S 36 S 39 S 43 S 46 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 54. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 76 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............64 60 58 56 RH..............57 63 64 72 20 FT WIND......S 14G30 S 13G30 S 14G30 S 13G30 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 30 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 64. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 64 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHIFT..........LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. CHANCE OF PRECIP....80 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 40 TO 50 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............55 58 62 RH..............79 81 68 20 FT WIND......S 12G30 S 14G30 S 14G30 MIX HGT (FT)....800 1900 3600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 43 S 47 S 49 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 80 80 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...ALBERT REQUESTED BY...CHARLENE ROGERS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090323.CUBCR.01/SGF