FNUS75 KBOU 241554 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR RMNP ELK AERIAL SURVEY...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 954 AM MDT TUE MAR 24 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MOIST NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN IT WILL BRING MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO THE AREA. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SNOW WILL BE IN THE MORNING BUT SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35. MIN HUMIDITY........42-48%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 7-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-6400 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 9600-10600 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 7800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RMNP ELK AERIAL SURVEY. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/24-09 100 20 24 59 W 8 8 2 1 N26 4831 NW 40 169846 E 03/24-10 100 20 26 54 W 8 1 4984 NW 37 161010 E 03/24-11 100 20 28 50 W 9 1 5137 NW 35 152174 E 03/24-12 96 18 30 47 W 12 20 2 1 NW12 5290 NW 31 143337 V 03/24-13 96 18 31 46 W 13 1 5409 NW 29 136925 V 03/24-14 96 18 32 45 W 13 1 5527 NW 28 130512 V 03/24-15 96 18 33 45 W 13 22 2 1 W13 5645 NW 25 124100 V 03/24-16 96 18 32 45 W 13 1 5549 W 24 115607 V 03/24-17 96 18 32 45 W 13 1 5454 W 23 107115 V 03/24-18 67 10 30 47 W 12 21 2 1 W13 5358 W 21 98622 G 03/24-19 67 10 29 47 W 12 1 5293 W 23 104021 V 03/24-20 67 10 27 49 W 12 1 5227 W 24 109420 V 03/24-21 67 10 25 51 W 10 10 2 1 SW18 5161 W 25 114818 V 03/24-22 67 10 24 53 W 10 1 5140 W 26 116425 V 03/24-23 67 10 23 53 W 9 1 5118 W 26 118033 V 03/25-00 69 10 22 53 SW 9 9 2 1 W25 5096 W 26 119640 V 03/25-01 69 10 21 54 SW 8 1 5074 W 28 124191 V 03/25-02 69 10 21 54 SW 8 1 5052 W 29 128743 V 03/25-03 69 10 21 54 SW 7 7 2 1 W26 5029 W 31 133294 V 03/25-04 69 10 20 53 W 7 1 5043 W 30 129326 V 03/25-05 69 10 20 53 W 6 1 5056 W 29 125358 V 03/25-06 51 0 21 53 W 6 6 2 1 W23 5069 W 28 121390 V 03/25-07 51 0 21 55 W 6 1 5179 W 25 114072 V 03/25-08 51 0 22 56 W 7 1 5297 W 24 113639 V 03/25-09 51 0 24 55 W 7 7 2 1 W35 5414 W 24 113206 V 03/25-10 51 0 27 53 W 8 1 6837 W 26 159170 E 03/25-11 51 0 29 52 W 8 1 8260 W 28 205133 E 03/25-12 78 0 30 51 W 9 9 2 1 W37 9683 W 30 251097 E 03/25-13 78 0 32 51 W 9 1 10114 W 31 274919 E 03/25-14 78 0 33 49 W 10 1 10545 W 32 298741 E 03/25-15 78 0 33 48 W 10 10 2 1 NW29 10976 W 33 322564 E 03/25-16 78 0 33 46 W 10 1 9412 W 33 274090 E 03/25-17 78 0 32 45 W 10 1 7847 W 33 225616 E 03/25-18 78 0 31 45 W 10 10 2 1 NW32 6283 W 32 177142 E 03/25-19 78 0 30 47 W 10 1 5934 W 35 177471 E 03/25-20 78 0 28 53 W 10 1 5586 W 37 177801 E 03/25-21 78 0 25 59 W 10 10 2 1 W47 5238 W 39 178130 E 03/25-22 91 0 24 64 W 10 1 5203 W 38 173635 E 03/25-23 91 0 23 68 W 10 1 5168 W 38 169139 E 03/26-00 91 0 22 69 W 10 10 2 1 W51 5133 W 37 164643 E 03/26-01 91 0 21 71 W 10 1 5087 W 37 164799 E 03/26-02 91 0 21 72 W 10 1 5041 W 38 164955 E 03/26-03 91 0 20 72 W 10 10 2 1 W51 4994 W 38 165111 E 03/26-04 91 40 20 71 W 10 1 4862 W 36 152781 E 03/26-05 100 40 20 69 W 10 1 4729 W 35 140452 V 03/26-06 100 40 20 68 W 9 9 2 1 W46 4596 W 32 128122 V 03/26-07 100 40 21 68 SW 8 1 4570 W 26 107605 V 03/26-08 100 40 21 69 SW 7 1 4543 W 22 87087 G 03/26-09 100 40 22 69 SW 5 5 2 1 W28 4516 SW 17 66570 G 03/26-10 100 40 23 67 S 6 1 4703 SW 15 60705 G 03/26-11 100 60 24 65 S 6 1 4891 SW 13 54840 F 03/26-12 100 60 25 64 SE 6 6 2 1 SW18 5078 SW 12 48975 F 03/26-13 100 60 25 63 SE 6 1 5103 S 10 47697 F 03/26-14 100 60 26 61 SE 6 1 5129 S 10 46419 F 03/26-15 100 60 26 62 E 6 6 2 1 S13 5155 S 10 45141 F 03/26-16 100 60 26 62 E 7 1 5129 SE 14 59239 F 03/26-17 100 60 25 63 E 9 1 5103 E 16 73337 G 03/26-18 100 60 23 68 NE 10 10 2 1 S23 5078 E 20 87435 G 03/26-19 100 60 22 72 NE 12 1 4403 E 24 86488 G 03/26-20 100 60 20 79 N 12 1 3728 E 28 85541 G 03/26-21 100 60 18 87 N 13 13 2 1 SE31 3053 NE 32 84594 G 03/26-22 100 60 16 92 N 13 1 2977 E 31 81584 G 03/26-23 82 60 15 92 N 12 1 2900 E 31 78574 G 03/27-00 82 60 14 93 NE 12 12 2 1 SE38 2824 E 31 75563 G 03/27-01 82 60 14 97 NE 10 1 2865 E 30 74206 G 03/27-02 82 40 13 98 N 10 1 2906 E 29 72849 G 03/27-03 82 40 13 98 N 9 9 2 1 SE39 2947 E 28 71491 G 03/27-04 82 40 12 99 N 9 1 2965 E 26 67055 G 03/27-05 82 40 12 98 N 9 1 2982 E 24 62619 G 03/27-06 74 40 13 98 NW 8 8 2 1 SE39 3000 E 22 58183 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DONNA GOVAN REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20090324.RMNPE.01/BOU