FNUS73 KJKL 241232 AAB FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR LAUREL CREEK...USDA - DANIEL BOONE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 832 AM EDT TUE MAR 24 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING ANOTHER DRY DAY TO THE FIRE AREA TODAY. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL START TO BRING AN INCREASE IN WINDS FROM THE SOUTH WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS REACHING NEAR 10 MPH BY AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FIRE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWER ACTIVITY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT... GENERALLY A QUARTER INCH OR LESS. ADDITIONAL OPPORTUNITIES FOR RAINFALL WILL ARRIVE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY... AND THEN AGAIN OVER THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-64 AT IGNITION...MAX 71-73. MIN HUMIDITY........46-48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34-41 PERCENT... LOWEST ON SOUTH FACING SLOPES. WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2 TO 4 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AT 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH AROUND 1400. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AT 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH AROUND 1300. POP.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...RISING TO 5600 FT DURING THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 16 MPH AROUND 1400. DISPERSION INDEX....23 AT IGNITION...AROUND 88 IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........26 31 37 45 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 69 70 68 RH..............47 40 42 48 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 8 S 9 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 20 HAINES INDEX....5 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS. SHOWERS LIKELY TOWARDS DAWN WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH TOWARDS DAWN. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. POP.................60 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0600...THEN 2. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........51 58 67 73 79 86 WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............64 62 60 58 57 57 RH..............57 59 60 62 66 71 20 FT WIND......S 7 SE 6 SE 5 S 3 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. POP.................80 PERCENT. LAL.................2. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 27 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....86. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........92 100 100 98 92 85 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............56 57 59 60 60 60 RH..............76 73 71 70 71 73 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 7 S 8 S 7 S 7 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 20 15 15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...PELTON REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090324.LAURE.02/JKL