FNUS71 KCTP 252138 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR FTIG IMPACT AREA FIRE 25 MARCH 09...PARMY NATIONAL GUARD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 538 PM EDT WED MAR 25 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1656 EDT ON MARCH 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... CONDITIONS WILL BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR WILDFIRE SPREAD DURING THIS EVENING...AS WINDS DIMINISH...HUMIDITIES INCREASE AND SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS OVERSPREAD THE REGION. STEADIER RAIN WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT AS A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. BETWEEN ONE QUARTER...AND ONE HALF OF AN INCH OF MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL IS LIKELY DURING THIS PERIOD. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........68 87 95 94 92 93 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCT SCT SCT NUM NUM NUM NUM WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............51 51 49 46 43 43 42 42 40 39 38 37 37 36 RH..............25 24 28 33 40 42 48 54 58 62 67 72 76 80 20 FT WIND DIR..S SE S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 10 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 15 14 14 14 14 14 12 10 9 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 20 20 20 50 50 50 60 60 60 60 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN OCCASIONAL RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 9 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS OCNL OCNL OCNL OCNL OCNL WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............36 37 40 44 46 48 RH..............84 86 78 72 71 67 20 FT WIND......E 2 E 2 E 2 SE 3 SE 3 E 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 9 SE 12 SE 14 SE 17 SE 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 80 80 80 100 100 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/FITZGERALD REQUESTED BY...MR SHANNON HENRY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090325.FTIGI.01/CTP