FNUS73 KDVN 251404
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR MICHAEL CREEK...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
904 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
BRISK WEST TO  WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY UNDER CLOUDY SKIES.
BY MID AFTERNOON...SKIES WILL GRADUALLY BEGIN CLEARING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY LATE
TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 48.
RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 56 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 16 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16
                    MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4600 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 13 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............40     44     46     47     46
RH..............67     60     58     58     63
EYE LEVEL WIND..240/16 250/15 250/15 250/15 240/10
EYE LEVEL WIND..25     20     20     20     15
HAINES INDEX....3      3      4      5      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37.
RH..................MAX 76 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH BECOMING WEST 3 TO 10
                    MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH AT LESS THAN 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58.
RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 9 MPH...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-5900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT NORTH AT LESS THAN 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5
                    TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...FERRY
REQUESTED BY...ERIK ACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090325.MICHA.01/DVN