FNUS73 KPAH 261329 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST BRANCH...USFWS, CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 829 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THERE WILL BE NO RAIN TODAY AS THE REGION WILL BE BETWEEN RAIN MAKING SYSTEMS. HOWEVER...STARTING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...THERE WILL BE TWO MAIN INTERVALS OF WETTING RAIN WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...THE SECOND INTERVAL BEING FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BE BROUGHT ON BY A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH IS FORECAST TO SWEEP SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION. THERE WILL PROBABLY BE SOME LINGERING SHOWERS BEHIND THE UPPER LEVEL LOW ON SATURDAY NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 67. RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1300-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-4400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............57 59 61 63 64 65 66 65 64 RH..............57 53 48 44 43 40 38 40 43 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE N N N N N N NE 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 3.1 3.7 4.1 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE N N N NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.9 7 6 5 6 7 9 12 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46. RH..................MAX 91 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1300-2000 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 16 TO 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............62 57 54 52 49 47 RH..............46 57 64 71 80 86 20 FT WIND......NE 6 NE 5 E 5 E 5 E 6 NE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3800 3000 2000 1300 1400 1800 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 16 E 20 E 23 E 25 E 25 SE 24 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56. RH..................MIN 69 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................60 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 21 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............47 51 54 55 RH..............89 80 74 72 20 FT WIND......NE 6G10 NE 6G10 N 6G10 NE 7G10 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 2100 1900 1900 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 23 E 22 NE 21 NE 22 CWR.............60 60 60 60 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...RAYMOND J PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090326.LOSTB.01/PAH