FNUS73 KPAH 271235 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR BRANDIEWIEDE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 735 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE WAVE WILL PROVIDE A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN IN PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI TODAY...THOUGH THE BRANDIEWIEDE BURN LOCATION MAY ESCAPE A WETTING RAIN. LATER TONIGHT...A DEEP LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND PROVIDE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA. THE PRECIPITATION WILL LINGER INTO SATURDAY MORNING...AND MAY DIE OFF FOR A SIGNIFICANT TIME DURING THE DAY AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........61 AT IGNITION...MAX 63. RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1900-3000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 26 MPH. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............59 60 60 61 61 61 60 RH..............65 63 63 58 58 58 58 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.25 26 26 26 26 26 26 CWR.............40 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44. RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................30 PERCENT INCREASING TO 61 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 26 TO 29 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............54 51 49 47 46 45 RH..............66 71 77 83 86 89 20 FT WIND......NE 11 NE 9 NE 7 NE 9 NE 10 NE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.25 15 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 2800 2600 2400 2300 2200 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 26 NE 26 NE 28 NE 28 NE 29 E 29 CWR.............30 30 30 60 60 60 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52. RH..................MIN 59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................66 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 32 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE SLGT CHC SLGT CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............44 48 50 51 RH..............89 77 68 61 20 FT WIND......NE 6G10 NE 7G10 NE 7G10 W 8G15 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2800 3300 3300 TRANSPORT WIND..E 29 SE 24 S 22 SW 26 CWR.............70 50 20 20 HAINES INDEX....2 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...BLANCHARD REQUESTED BY...BOBBY BLOODWORTH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090327.BRAND.01/PAH