FNUS72 KMLB 281814
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR INDIAN LAKE FIRE...DOF - BLUE IMT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
214 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1318 EDT ON MARCH 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON...OUT OF THE S-SSW AT
20 MPH WITH OCCASONAL GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH...PRODUCING VERY HIGH
DISPERSION VALUES.

A FAST-MOVING LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL MOVE CROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND STRONG WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 40 MPH...
WITH ISOLATED STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
THE LATEST FORECAST MODELS INDICATE THE MOST LIKELY TIME FRAME FOR
THESE STORMS TO PASS OVER THE BURN SITE IS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING
IN THE PRE-DAWN HOURS...SOMETIME BETWEEN 4 AM AND 7 AM. ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY ALSO FORM AHEAD OF THIS MAIN LINE DURING THE
EVENING HOURS.

DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT LATE SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY. RH VALUES MAY DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL
HOURS ON MONDAY BUT WINDS WILL BE LOWER...N-NE AT AROUND 10 MPH.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH DECREASING TO 22 TO 24
                    MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX....20.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............81  79  76  75  74  73  73  73  72  72  72  71
RH..............55  58  71  76  79  84  84  84  87  87  84  84
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..11  10  9   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.25  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...DECREASING CLOUDS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................5 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 22 TO 24 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....65.

$$
FORECASTER...GLITTO
REQUESTED BY...DUANE R DURGEE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090328.INDIA.01/MLB