FNUS73 KDVN 301742
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR MICHEAL CREEK...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1242 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1235 CDT ON MARCH 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL TRACK INTO
NORTHWEST IOWA LATER TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A BAND OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE ON THE BRISK SIDE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
BECOMING SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........49 AT IGNITION...MAX 55.
RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 46 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 17 MPH AT AT IGNITION
                    OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST 16 TO 21 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NONE.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1300-2400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 31
                    MPH.

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     51     54     54
RH..............53     48     46     50
EYE LEVEL WIND..130/17 120/17 120/21 120/16
EYE LEVEL WIND..25     25     30     25
HAINES INDEX....3      3      2      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 16 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
LAL.................ISOLATED.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 15 TO 23 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52.
RH..................MIN 54 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 24 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST.
WIND SHIFT..........SOUTH WIND BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE MORNING.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................ISOLATED.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000-7700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 22 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 32
                    TO 38 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...HAASE
REQUESTED BY...ERIK ACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090330.MICHE.01/DVN