FNUS73 KPAH 301416 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR NEVILLE CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 916 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY AND WARM TODAY. SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON...SOMEWHAT LIMITING THE PLUMMET OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LATE. STILL...IT WILL BE DRY. THE PROBABILITY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TONIGHT. PLENTY OF RAIN ON TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 66. RH..................36 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1000-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............58 61 63 64 65 64 63 RH..............36 31 30 27 29 30 32 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 5 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 15 17 20 22 24 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50. RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1300-1800 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 29 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............62 58 56 54 53 52 RH..............36 49 59 66 73 78 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 2900 2000 1300 1300 1600 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 25 S 26 S 26 S 26 S 28 S 29 CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65. RH..................MIN 56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................74 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-4800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 TO 37 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............51 57 62 64 RH..............82 69 60 56 20 FT WIND......SE 8G15 SE 8G20 SE 9G20 S 9G20 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 2400 2800 4700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 30 S 35 S 37 SW 35 CWR.............70 70 70 70 HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 3 $$ FORECASTER...BLANCHARD REQUESTED BY...T GIRARD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090330.NEVIL.01/PAH