FNUS73 KPAH 301441 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TA 11...DOD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 941 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY AND WARM TODAY. SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON...SOMEWHAT LIMITING THE PLUMMET OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LATE. STILL...IT WILL BE DRY. THE PROBABILITY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TONIGHT...AND WETTING RAIN WILL LIKELY OCCUR SOMETIME ON TUESDAY EVERYWHERE. UNDER A PERSISTENT SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...DYNAMIC STORM SYSTEMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION EVERY TWO TO THREE DAYS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 65. RH..................38 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3100-3800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............52 55 59 61 62 63 64 63 RH..............38 34 30 28 27 30 30 32 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 12 14 15 17 20 22 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50. RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200-1700 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 29 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............61 57 55 54 52 51 RH..............36 49 58 64 72 77 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3700 2900 2000 1300 1300 1500 TRANSPORT WIND..S 23 S 24 S 24 S 24 S 25 S 28 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63. RH..................MIN 59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 74 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200-7000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 38 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 28 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............50 56 60 62 RH..............81 70 62 59 20 FT WIND......SE 8G15 SE 9G20 S 9G20 S 9G20 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 2800 3500 6800 TRANSPORT WIND..S 30 S 36 S 38 SW 33 CWR.............0 0 70 70 HAINES INDEX....4 3 2 3 $$ FORECASTER...YORK REQUESTED BY...DREW MICKOLAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090330.TA11_.01/PAH