FNUS72 KILM 311231 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR CAROLINA BEACH 2...NC STATE PARKS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 831 AM EDT TUE MAR 31 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON MARCH 31. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS TODAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GULF COAST STATES BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED. INCREASING MOISTURE AND RH VALUES OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS A SURFACE LOW APPROACHES FROM THE SW. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN ON WEDNESDAY. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SE 8 TO 11 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INITIALLY...INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........32 39 37 50 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 67 68 68 RH..............54 44 43 45 20 FT WIND......E 4 E 8 SE 9 SE 11 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 14 16 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 3500 4200 4200 TRANSPORT WIND..E 9 SE 12 SE 13 SE 13 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 15 TO 24 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 28 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........55 61 70 69 83 87 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN TEMP............66 60 59 60 61 61 RH..............53 70 76 78 79 82 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 4 SE 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 1400 1400 1000 500 500 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15 SE 18 SE 18 SE 21 SE 24 SE 24 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN RAIN EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN LIKELY LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 21 TO 30 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........92 100 100 100 100 97 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............61 60 62 65 66 66 RH..............85 92 87 82 79 78 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 11 SE 10 SE 11 SE 11 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 15 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 900 900 1800 2000 2000 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 28 SE 30 SE 30 S 28 S 23 S 23 $$ FORECASTER...KREITNER REQUESTED BY...DOUG SPROUSE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090331.CAROL.01/ILM