FNUS75 KBOU 010117 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MOUNT FALCON SLASH PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 715 PM MDT TUE MAR 31 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO BY LATE WEDNESDAY WITH SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING IN THE MORNING HOURS...THEN BECOMING WIDESPREAD BY AFTERNOON. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 7 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL END WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES IN THE AFTERNOON WITH SNOWFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH PER HOUR. SMOKE VENTILATION WILL IMPROVE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE IN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL SPREAD POSSIBLE SNOW ACROSS THE AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....22. MAX HUMIDITY........66%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-32 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 200-400 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1000...THEN SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1200...THEN SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....34 EARLY...THEN DROPPING INTO THE MID 20S BY AFTERNOON. MIN HUMIDITY........42%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 7-13 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTH 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 4400-5400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR. VERY GOOD AFTER 1600. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....18. MAX HUMIDITY........95%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 600-1600 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....43. MIN HUMIDITY........26%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 4000-5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MOUNT FALCON SLASH PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/31-18 67 10 36 27 W 15 24 3 1 NW35 4255 W 38 140577 V 03/31-19 67 10 34 30 W 14 1 3145 W 37 102868 V 03/31-20 67 10 32 35 SW 12 1 2034 W 36 65159 G 03/31-21 67 10 29 43 SW 10 10 3 1 W25 923 W 35 27450 P 03/31-22 67 10 27 50 SW 9 1 701 W 28 19474 P 03/31-23 67 10 26 57 W 8 1 478 W 22 11499 P 04/01-00 67 10 25 61 W 7 7 3 1 W23 255 W 16 3523 P 04/01-01 67 10 24 64 W 7 1 231 W 15 2992 P 04/01-02 67 10 23 65 W 7 1 208 W 14 2462 P 04/01-03 67 10 23 64 SW 8 8 3 1 W26 184 W 13 1932 P 04/01-04 67 10 23 66 W 9 1 187 W 13 2122 P 04/01-05 67 10 23 66 W 10 1 189 W 14 2311 P 04/01-06 97 37 23 65 W 13 13 3 1 W25 192 W 15 2501 P 04/01-07 97 37 23 65 W 10 1 358 W 12 2810 P 04/01-08 97 37 24 63 W 9 1 524 W 9 3119 P 04/01-09 97 66 26 59 W 7 7 3 1 SW18 690 W 6 3428 P 04/01-10 97 66 28 52 W 6 1 1836 NW 6 10418 P 04/01-11 97 66 30 48 NW 5 1 2981 NW 7 17408 P 04/01-12 97 81 31 45 NW 3 3 3 1 SW 7 4126 N 7 24398 P 04/01-13 97 81 32 43 N 5 1 4515 NW 9 38711 P 04/01-14 97 81 33 42 N 7 1 4903 NW 12 53024 F 04/01-15 97 81 33 42 N 10 10 3 1 E 8 5292 NW 15 67338 G 04/01-16 97 81 33 42 NW 15 1 5361 NW 18 85610 G 04/01-17 97 81 32 43 NW 15 1 5429 NW 22 103882 V 04/01-18 97 63 31 58 NW 14 22 2 1 N16 5497 NW 25 122155 V 04/01-19 97 63 25 86 NW 13 1 2592 NW 24 55569 F 04/01-20 97 63 24 93 NW 10 1 1834 NW 24 38847 P 04/01-21 97 63 23 95 NW 9 9 2 1 N24 1075 NW 24 22125 P 04/01-22 97 63 23 93 NW 8 1 1281 N 22 23455 P 04/01-23 97 63 22 88 NW 7 1 1486 N 20 24785 P 04/02-00 48 2 22 84 NW 7 7 2 1 N12 1691 N 17 26115 P 04/02-01 48 2 21 84 NW 8 1 1373 N 15 19561 P 04/02-02 48 2 20 83 W 9 1 1055 NW 13 13007 P 04/02-03 48 2 20 80 W 10 10 2 1 W15 737 NW 10 6453 P 04/02-04 48 2 20 76 W 12 1 680 NW 12 6396 P 04/02-05 48 2 20 73 SW 13 1 622 NW 12 6340 P 04/02-06 43 0 19 72 SW 13 20 2 1 NW28 565 NW 13 6283 P 04/02-07 43 0 19 70 SW 12 1 992 NW 13 10627 P 04/02-08 43 0 22 61 W 10 1 1420 W 13 14971 P 04/02-09 43 0 26 53 W 8 8 2 1 NW40 1847 W 12 19315 P 04/02-10 43 0 30 44 W 7 1 2914 NW 14 39553 P 04/02-11 43 0 34 38 NW 5 1 3980 NW 16 59790 F 04/02-12 50 0 36 34 NW 3 3 2 1 NW54 5047 NW 18 80028 G 04/02-13 50 0 39 30 NW 3 1 4995 NW 18 79791 G 04/02-14 50 0 40 28 W 3 1 4943 NW 18 79553 G 04/02-15 50 0 41 27 W 3 3 2 1 NW46 4891 W 18 79316 G 04/02-16 50 0 41 26 W 5 1 4298 W 17 66735 G 04/02-17 50 0 41 26 W 5 1 3705 W 16 54154 F 04/02-18 38 0 39 28 W 6 6 2 1 W45 3113 W 15 41573 F 04/02-19 38 0 38 30 W 6 1 2411 W 15 31370 P 04/02-20 38 0 36 35 W 6 1 1709 W 14 21167 P 04/02-21 38 0 34 42 W 7 7 2 1 W41 1007 W 13 10964 P 04/02-22 38 0 33 48 W 7 1 776 W 13 8389 P 04/02-23 38 0 32 54 W 7 1 544 W 13 5814 P 04/03-00 38 0 31 58 W 7 7 3 1 W45 313 W 12 3238 P 04/03-01 38 0 30 60 W 7 1 280 W 12 2838 P 04/03-02 38 0 30 59 W 8 1 246 W 12 2438 P 04/03-03 38 0 29 58 W 8 8 3 1 W40 213 W 12 2037 P 04/03-04 38 0 29 56 W 8 1 211 W 12 2134 P 04/03-05 38 0 29 56 W 9 1 208 W 13 2231 P 04/03-06 63 10 29 53 W 9 9 3 1 W45 206 W 13 2328 P 04/03-07 63 10 30 51 W 9 1 235 W 15 3082 P 04/03-08 63 10 32 46 W 9 1 264 W 16 3835 P 04/03-09 63 10 35 41 SW 10 10 3 1 W40 293 W 18 4589 P 04/03-10 63 10 38 37 SW 10 1 644 W 16 8471 P 04/03-11 63 10 41 34 SW 10 1 995 SW 15 12352 P 04/03-12 63 10 44 32 SW 10 10 3 1 W40 1347 SW 14 16234 P 04/03-13 63 10 46 31 SW 10 1 2240 SW 16 36709 P 04/03-14 63 10 47 31 SW 12 1 3134 SW 20 57184 F 04/03-15 63 10 47 32 SW 12 17 3 1 W51 4028 SW 22 77659 G 04/03-16 63 10 47 33 SW 12 1 2842 SW 21 54341 F 04/03-17 63 10 46 36 SW 12 1 1656 SW 20 31024 P 04/03-18 65 27 44 40 SW 12 12 4 1 W53 470 SW 18 7706 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...KEITH BOL REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090401.MOUNT.01/BOU