FNUS75 KBOU 011558 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF F1...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 937 AM MDT WED APR 1 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON...BRINGING SNOW AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES TO THE BURN SITE. SNOW WILL BE DIMINISHING THIS EVENING WITH DRY WEATHER THURSDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SNOW WILL COME INTO THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 1300...THEN SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....32. MIN HUMIDITY........50-54%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 4800-5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....15. MAX HUMIDITY........85%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL UNTIL 0100...THEN 2200-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0500...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....38. MIN HUMIDITY........39%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000... THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...SNOW LIKELY COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF F1. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 04/01-09 99 82 25 67 NE 3 3 3 1 W38 4740 W 16 67575 G 04/01-10 99 82 27 59 NE 3 1 4887 W 16 66557 G 04/01-11 99 82 28 55 N 5 1 5033 W 15 65538 G 04/01-12 98 86 28 54 NW 6 6 2 1 W37 5180 W 14 64520 G 04/01-13 98 86 27 58 NW 7 1 5190 W 14 63168 G 04/01-14 98 86 26 64 N 8 1 5200 W 14 61815 G 04/01-15 98 86 26 68 N 8 8 2 1 SW14 5210 W 14 60463 G 04/01-16 98 86 26 66 N 8 1 5217 NW 15 66926 G 04/01-17 98 86 26 68 NW 8 1 5225 NW 16 73388 G 04/01-18 89 64 25 70 NW 7 7 2 1 NW 3 5232 NW 17 79851 G 04/01-19 89 64 24 75 NW 6 1 5031 NW 17 75676 G 04/01-20 89 64 22 81 W 5 1 4830 NW 17 71501 G 04/01-21 89 64 21 85 W 3 3 2 1 NW 8 4629 NW 17 67326 G 04/01-22 89 64 20 84 W 3 1 4322 NW 16 59492 F 04/01-23 89 64 19 80 SW 5 1 4015 NW 15 51659 F 04/02-00 56 10 18 77 SW 6 6 2 1 NW20 3708 NW 14 43826 F 04/02-01 56 10 17 78 SW 8 1 3235 NW 16 43879 F 04/02-02 56 10 15 81 W 9 1 2762 NW 20 43933 F 04/02-03 56 10 15 82 W 12 12 2 1 NW33 2289 W 22 43987 F 04/02-04 56 10 15 82 W 13 1 2404 W 26 56967 F 04/02-05 56 10 15 82 W 14 1 2519 W 31 69948 G 04/02-06 50 0 16 78 W 14 22 2 1 NW43 1164 W 15 15308 P 04/02-07 50 0 18 73 W 9 1 1739 W 16 24249 P 04/02-08 50 0 20 66 W 9 1 2313 W 16 33190 P 04/02-09 50 0 23 59 W 9 9 2 1 NW43 2887 W 17 42132 F 04/02-10 50 0 26 55 W 9 1 3448 W 18 54981 F 04/02-11 50 0 29 52 W 9 1 4008 W 20 67830 G 04/02-12 49 0 31 49 W 9 9 2 1 NW43 4568 W 21 80679 G 04/02-13 49 0 33 46 W 8 1 4908 W 21 88429 G 04/02-14 49 0 35 44 W 8 1 5249 W 21 96180 G 04/02-15 49 0 36 42 W 8 8 2 1 NW46 5589 W 22 103930 V 04/02-16 49 0 37 41 W 12 1 5424 W 21 100361 V 04/02-17 49 0 37 39 W 12 1 5258 W 21 96791 G 04/02-18 48 1 35 43 W 12 12 2 1 W51 5093 W 21 93221 G 04/02-19 48 1 34 45 W 12 1 3643 W 18 64972 G 04/02-20 48 1 32 49 W 8 1 2193 W 16 36723 P 04/02-21 48 1 30 55 W 8 8 2 1 W44 743 W 13 8474 P 04/02-22 48 1 28 59 W 9 1 766 W 14 9281 P 04/02-23 48 1 27 63 W 9 1 788 W 15 10088 P 04/03-00 48 1 26 66 W 10 10 3 1 W38 810 W 15 10894 P 04/03-01 48 1 26 67 W 10 1 835 W 16 11307 P 04/03-02 48 1 25 68 W 9 1 861 W 16 11720 P 04/03-03 48 1 25 68 W 9 9 3 1 W45 887 W 16 12133 P 04/03-04 48 1 25 68 W 9 1 1646 W 18 31362 P 04/03-05 48 1 25 68 W 9 1 2406 W 22 50590 F 04/03-06 69 10 25 67 W 9 9 2 1 W52 3165 W 25 69819 G 04/03-07 69 10 25 63 W 9 1 4277 W 28 103747 V 04/03-08 69 10 28 54 SW 8 1 5389 W 29 137674 V 04/03-09 69 10 31 46 SW 12 12 3 1 W51 6501 W 30 171602 E 04/03-10 69 10 35 41 SW 15 1 6544 W 29 166792 E 04/03-11 69 10 38 39 SW 14 1 6587 SW 29 161981 E 04/03-12 76 10 40 38 S 14 21 3 1 W48 6630 SW 28 157171 E 04/03-13 76 10 42 36 S 13 1 6630 SW 26 152853 E 04/03-14 76 10 44 35 S 13 1 6629 SW 25 148535 V 04/03-15 76 10 44 35 S 13 20 3 1 W47 6629 SW 25 144217 V 04/03-16 76 10 44 33 S 12 1 6585 SW 24 138731 V 04/03-17 76 10 43 33 S 12 1 6540 SW 23 133245 V 04/03-18 68 36 41 35 S 12 12 3 1 SW45 6496 S 23 127759 V 04/03-19 68 36 39 37 S 12 1 4502 S 17 86158 G 04/03-20 68 36 36 43 S 5 1 2507 S 12 44557 F 04/03-21 68 36 33 51 SE 5 5 3 1 SW38 513 SE 7 2956 P 04/03-22 68 36 31 59 SE 5 1 1486 SE 8 11184 P 04/03-23 68 36 29 66 SE 5 1 2458 SE 8 19411 P 04/04-00 93 54 28 71 E 5 5 2 1 S30 3431 SE 9 27638 P 04/04-01 93 54 27 76 E 5 1 4050 E 10 39318 P 04/04-02 93 54 26 78 E 6 1 4670 E 13 50998 F 04/04-03 93 54 25 79 E 7 7 2 1 S25 5289 E 14 62677 G 04/04-04 93 54 25 79 E 8 1 5175 E 15 66528 G 04/04-05 93 54 25 77 NE 9 1 5062 E 16 70379 G 04/04-06 92 65 26 75 NE 10 10 2 1 S20 4948 E 17 74230 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BILL ALAKAI REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090401.SUGAR.01/BOU