FNUS73 KEAX 011414 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR GOUGE EYE FIELD 91...MDC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 914 AM CDT WED APR 1 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON APRIL 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH 11 AM BEFORE A WEAK SURFACE WARM OVER THE OZARKS BEGINS TO LIFT NORTHWARD. BY 12 PM...SURFACE WINDS WILL TURN BACK TO A MORE SOUTH SOUTHEAST DIRECTION BETWEEN 5 AND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS 15 TO 20 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON (2-4PM). WITH THE SURFACE FRONT MAKING SLOWER PROGRESS NORTHWARD...MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE LOWER THAN NORMAL WITH INITIAL HEIGHTS AROUND 1500 FT AGL THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON INCREASING TO AROUND 3000 FT AGL BY 3-4 PM. TRANSPORT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH THROUGH THE MORNING BEFORE TURNING OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST TO EAST BY THE AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL TOP OUT IN THE LOWER 60S WITH EXPECTED RH VALUES IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S AT PEAK HEATING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....49 AT IGNITION...MAX 61. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 200-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........44 51 57 60 62 67 71 76 81 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............44 49 53 58 59 60 61 61 60 RH..............62 52 43 36 36 35 35 35 36 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE E E E SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 9 12 13 13 13 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 43. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 79 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.80 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 29 MPH BECOMING EAST 7 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........83 86 91 94 96 98 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............59 53 49 47 46 44 RH..............38 50 59 66 72 77 20 FT WIND......SE 13 SE 9 SE 8 E 8 E 10 E 10 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...DUX REQUESTED BY...JOSH SHROYER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090401.GOUGE.01/EAX