FNUS73 KEAX 011606 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR GOUGE EYE FIELD 91...MDC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1106 AM CDT WED APR 1 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON APRIL 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AS OF 11AM...SURFACE WARM FRONT NOW RESIDES JUST SOUTH OF THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA. A LIGHT AND VARIABLE TO LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE SOUTHERLY BY 12 PM AS THE WARM LIFTS NORTHWARD. ONCE THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 7 AND 12 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS 15 TO 25 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON (2-4PM). 20 FOOT AGL WINDS MAY BEGIN TO TURN MORE SOUTHEASTERLY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS SUBSIDING BY 7 PM. WITH THE SURFACE FRONT MAKING SLOWER PROGRESS NORTHWARD...MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE LOWER THAN NORMAL WITH INITIAL HEIGHTS AROUND 1500 FT AGL THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON INCREASING TO AROUND 3000 FT AGL BY 3-4 PM. TRANSPORT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH THROUGH THE MORNING BEFORE TURNING OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST TO EAST BY THE AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL TOP OUT IN THE LOWER 60S WITH EXPECTED RH VALUES IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S AT PEAK HEATING. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 61. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 35 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........57 60 62 67 71 76 81 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............53 58 59 60 61 61 60 RH..............43 36 36 35 35 35 36 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 12 14 15 14 13 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 43. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 79 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.80 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 29 MPH BECOMING EAST 7 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........83 86 91 94 96 98 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............59 53 49 47 46 44 RH..............38 50 59 66 72 77 20 FT WIND......SE 13 SE 9 SE 8 E 8 E 10 E 10 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...DUX REQUESTED BY...JOSH SHROYER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090401.GOUGE.01/EAX