FNUS73 KPAH 011409 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TA 27...DOD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 909 AM CDT WED APR 1 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRIER HIGH PRESSURE WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION TODAY. ON THURSDAY A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIFT NORTHEAST FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... PASSING ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY ON THURSDAY EVENING. THIS LOW WILL BRING MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 66. RH..................33 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 4 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 TO 4000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............59 62 63 64 65 65 63 RH..............33 29 26 24 24 27 33 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SE E 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 5 4 3 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 10 10 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 9 12 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46. RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 12 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1300-1500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 16 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 31 TO 36 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............61 56 53 51 49 48 RH..............36 45 52 59 63 65 20 FT WIND......E 2 E 3 E 4 E 5 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3500 3300 2900 2400 2000 1500 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 16 SE 23 SE 30 SE 35 S 36 S 33 CWR.............0 0 0 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 3 2 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67. RH..................MIN 56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................29 PERCENT INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 17 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 0 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 16 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO AROUND 31 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE OCNL OCNL WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............47 56 63 66 RH..............83 74 65 58 20 FT WIND......E 5G10 SE 6G15 E 9G20 SE 10G25 MIX HGT (FT)....1100 500 500 1600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 28 S 10 S 0 S 16 CWR.............30 30 100 100 HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...MEFFERT REQUESTED BY...DREW MICKOLAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090401.TA27_.01/PAH