FNUS73 KDMX 031121 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR FOGLE LAKE...IOWA DNR-USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 621 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0640 CDT ON APRIL 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. PLEASE REMEMBER TO SUBMIT A MID BURN OBSERVATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION TODAY WITH LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEASTERLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AHEAD OF A SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL IMPACT THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........28 AT IGNITION...MAX 57. RH..................78 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 12 TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (55000 KNOT-FT). TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........13 15 18 19 20 22 23 26 26 25 29 38 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............28 32 36 40 44 47 50 52 55 56 55 55 RH..............78 72 64 59 51 45 42 39 35 35 37 37 EYE LVL WND DIR.N N NE NE E SE S SE SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 3 3 2 1 0 1 3 5 5 6 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.5 3.4 4.2 4.7 5.3 5.8 5.2 4.6 MIXNG WIND DIR..N N N NE N W SW SW S S S SE MIXNG WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 3 1 1 2 6 8 12 14 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38. RH..................MAX 70 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........EAST 8 TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (52700 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (4000 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........50 48 45 43 53 67 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............53 49 46 44 42 41 RH..............39 46 53 57 62 67 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 6 SE 6 SE 5 E 5 E 6 E 7 EYE LEVEL WIND..15 10 10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....4100 1700 400 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......SE 15 SE 12 SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 E 12 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58. RH..................MIN 49 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........EAST 14 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 32 TO 41 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO AROUND 23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (25600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (166300 KNOT-FT). TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........77 76 75 80 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............40 47 54 57 RH..............70 60 54 49 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 10G20 E 14G30 E 18G35 E 18G35 MIX HGT (FT)....400 1900 2900 4900 MIXNG WIND......E 14 E 25 SE 38 SE 39 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...MOYER REQUESTED BY...NRT 1 TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090403.FOGLE.01/DMX