FNUS74 KOUN 031025
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONCHO...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
525 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ANOTHER POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS ON SATURDAY... BRINGING STRONG SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS. WARM DRY AIR WILL LIMIT CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION BUT COMBINE WITH THE WINDS TO CREATE EXTREME
WILDFIRE POTENTIAL SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA. A COOLER BUT CONTINUED DRY PATTERN
WILL PREVAIL EARLY NEXT WEEK AS CANADIAN AIR MOVES SOUTH ACROSS
THE AREA ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE WEEKEND STORM SYSTEM. FREEZES
WILL BE LIKELY IN MANY AREAS MONDAY MORNING AND AGAIN TUESDAY
MORNING. ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN CHANCES BACK
INTO THE FORECAST AROUND NEXT THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 100-1900 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 4700-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 29 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     57     62     64     64     61
RH..............62     40     35     34     35     41
20 FT WIND......S 9    S 13   S 16   S 18   S 16   S 15
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     25     30     25     20
MIX HGT (FT)....1900   3400   4600   5000   4700   2700
MIX HGT (M).....580    1040   1400   1520   1430   820
TRANSPORT WIND..S 14   S 17   S 23   S 28   S 29   S 23
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 6    S 8    S 10   S 13   S 13   S 10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 68 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS THAN 100 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 24 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 26 TO
                    29 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 28 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 40 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9100-9800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 26 TO 35 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BRANICK
REQUESTED BY...JOSH WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090403.CONCH.02/OUN