FNUS72 KILM 061247 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR HIGHMARKET FRASER...GEORGETOWN COUNTY EMD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 847 AM EDT MON APR 6 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0830 EDT ON APRIL 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY...BRINGING THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING. GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT AND PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY. THE STRONG WINDS WILL USHER IN UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR...WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON. MAY SEE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM BETWEEN NOW AND 11 AM. THE BIGGER THREAT WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE EXPECTED BETWEEN 11 AM AND 1PM. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE WEST BEHIND THE FRONT AND WILL INCREASE IN SPEED AND BECOME GUSTY. WESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO BRING DRIER AIR TO THE REGION LATE TODAY AND OVERNIGHT. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST AROUND 35 MPH. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........93 92 88 84 80 76 74 69 60 51 WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............66 67 68 69 70 70 71 71 70 68 RH..............89 85 80 74 70 66 61 57 54 54 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..10 11 11 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.5 1.5 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.8 2.8 2.8 4.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 28 26 26 26 22 22 22 35 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39. MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1700-2800 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 26 TO 35 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........41 27 30 33 35 33 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 56 52 48 45 44 RH..............55 62 63 65 67 66 20 FT WIND......W 15 W 14 W 14 W 12 W 10 W 10 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 25 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....4900 3400 3400 2800 2300 2300 TRANSPORT WIND..W 35 W 31 W 31 W 26 W 26 W 26 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5900-7400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 25 TO 29 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........29 26 37 51 61 59 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............42 42 47 52 55 54 RH..............68 64 51 41 36 33 20 FT WIND......W 9 W 9 W 11 W 13 W 13 W 13 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 25 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....1700 2200 2200 5900 7400 7400 TRANSPORT WIND..W 25 W 26 W 26 W 25 W 28 W 28 $$ FORECASTER...LEBO REQUESTED BY...JOSEPH WILLIAMSON TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20090406.HIGHM.01/ILM