FNUS73 KDVN 071242
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR MICHAEL CREEK...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
742 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON APRIL 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE IN THE HIGH PLAINS WILL BRING FAIR SKIES...MODERATE
BUT GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND SEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS TODAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT NEAR 50 DEGREES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 50.
RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 20
                    MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-5900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2700 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 18 TO 25 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............37     43     46     48     47
RH..............54     43     40     40     43
EYE LEVEL WIND..310/16 310/17 300/17 300/15 300/12
EYE LEVEL WIND..25     25     25     25     15
HAINES INDEX....2      3      3      4      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 29.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
WIND SHIFT..........45 DEGREE SHIFT FROM WEST TO SOUTHWEST AFTER 2 AM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57.
RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT EARLY MORNING...MIN 35 PERCENT IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO
                    17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT EARLY...INCREASING TO 5500 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...NICHOLS
REQUESTED BY...ERIK ACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090407.MICHA.01/DVN