FNUS76 KMFR 080027
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCKEE RANCH...LAKEVIEW DISTRICT BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
527 PM PDT TUE APR 7 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1620 PDT ON APRIL 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE OFF OF THE NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COAST THIS EVENING WILL
SEND MOISTURE NORTHWARD TONIGHT AS A NEW LOW FORMS ALONG THE
OREGON-IDAHO BORDER. AS THIS OCCURS BREEZY AND GUSTY SOUTH AND THEN
WEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP AT THE BURN SITE. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
DEVELOP OVER THE REGION OVERNIGHT RESULTING IN PRECIPITATION LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH MAINLY EARLY WEDNESDAY. THERE IS A FAIRLY HIGH AMOUNT
OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW MUCH PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AND EXACTLY
WHERE. THE FORECAST ATTEMPTS TO CAPTURE THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO.


.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. VIRGA THIS EVENING...THEN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    FROM LATE EVENING ONWARD. RAIN MAY MIX WITH SNOW
                    TOWARD DAYBREAK ON WEDNESDAY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-38.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SSW 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS 15 TO 20 MPH EARLY EVENING
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10-20 WITH GUSTS 20-30 MPH LATE
                    IN THE EVENING. WIND BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH GUSTS 15-25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING
                    DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 20-30 MPH BECOMING WEST 15-25 MPH DURING
                    THE EVENING AND THEN CONTINUING OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.


.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH
                    SNOW. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 8-15 MPH WITH GUSTS 15-25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 TO 25 MPH DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...JEB KOONS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090407.MCKEE.02/MFR