FNUS74 KMOB 071418
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHOCTAW...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
918 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON APRIL 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO AS
LOW AS AROUND 28 PERCENT ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. RETURN FLOW BEGINS
ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...BUT GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
THAT AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL TO SIMILAR VALUES ON
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...BUT DURATION IS MORE QUESTIONABLE. MOISTENING
ATMOSPHERE AND INCREASED RAIN CHANCES COMING UP DURING THE LATER PART
OF THE WEEK WILL PRECLUDE ANY FIRE HEADLINES FOR LATE WEEK.

.TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........12     12     12     12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............53     56     58     59
RH..............38     33     31     31
20 FT WIND DIR..NW     NW     NW     NW
20 FT WIND SPD..15     15     15     14
MIX HGT (FT)....5400   5500   5500   5300
MIX HGT (M).....1650   1680   1680   1620
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW     NW     NW     NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.24     24     24     22
TRANS SPD (M/S).11     11     11     10
DISPERSION......78     79     76     70
LVORI...........1      1      1      1
CWR.............0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........12     5      5      5      5      5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     54     47     44     42     41
RH..............34     42     59     66     70     71
20 FT WIND DIR..NW     NW     NW     NW     NW     NW
20 FT WIND SPD..14     12     11     10     9      9
MIX HGT (FT)....5200   4500   3500   2500   1800   1500
MIX HGT (M).....1580   1370   1070   760    550    460
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW     NW     NW     NW     NW     NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.21     20     18     17     16     14
TRANS SPD (M/S).9      9      8      8      7      6
DISPERSION......63     26     24     23     18     10
LVORI...........1      2      2      3      3      3
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...MOB FORECASTER
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN HIERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090407.CHOCT.01/MOB