FNUS75 KGJT 080411
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST VAIL 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1011 PM MDT TUE APR 7 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON APRIL 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ANOTHER SPRING STORM WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE FIRE
SITE TODAY WITH STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING DURING THE
AFTERNOON. EXPECT STRONGER GUSTS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING TIME FRAME AS VIRGA DEVELOPS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT. EXPECT THE FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH IN THE EVENING WITH
SHOWERS INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND SNOW LEVELS LOWERING TO THE
LEVEL OF THE FIRE SITE...THEN BELOW LATER IN THE NIGHT. SNOW WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE FIRE SITE THURSDAY.

.TODAY (THROUGH SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%) AFTER 1200. ISOLATED SHOWERS
     AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 5 MPH THROUGH 0900...THEN
    BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20
    MPH BY 1200. WINDS VEERING TO THE SOUTHWEST
    AND INCREASING TO 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH AROUND 1400. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING EXCELLENT BY 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 10000 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH THROUGH 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST
    25 MPH BY 1200.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-23 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
                    DECREASING TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (10700-34000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 2500 FT AGL BY 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING EXCELLENT BY 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 10000 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...ROB MACDONALD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090408.EASTV.02/GJT